The Baltic Dry Index: Statistical Tools for Forecasting, Investment and Hedging Strategies

This book provides the knowledge and skills needed to analyze the Baltic Dry Index (BDI), its development, patterns, models, etc., from a statistical perspective. The BDI is one of the leading indicators of the maritime transport sector incorporating aspects of the future of the world economic activity. The core themes of the book deal with issues such as stationary and non-stationary time series; regression models; volatility of the BDI; cluster analysis; Markov models, etc. Moreover, the book demonstrates the practical implications than can be drawn from the statistical analysis of BDI for the shipping industry and other exporting industries, covering statistical forecasting, calculation of investment risks, hedging strategies and other tools to help the shipping industry to make sound business and investment decisions.